Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.99
Edge
+14.4%Last 20
39%7/18 over 2 · 2 push
Window avg
2.10
Median
1.0
L5
50%
2/4
L10
38%
3/8
L20
39%
7/18
2026
21%
15/71
Avg1.75
Streak—
Parlay pairs — when Fernando Tatis Jr. clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Gavin Sheets o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 57% · n=88 · -148 DraftKings
Sung-Mun Song o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 45% · n=12 · -121 DraftKings
Jackson Merrill o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 66% · base 62% · n=134 · -206 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 20 vs 2
official box scoresLine movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs AZ — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Jake Cronenworth SD | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Luis Campusano SD | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Samad Taylor SD | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Jackson Merrill SD | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Sung-Mun Song SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Gavin Sheets SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Manny Machado SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Xander Bogaerts SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jackson Merrill SD | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jake Cronenworth SD | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Samad Taylor SD | 07/06 | 1 | ✗ |
| Ty France SD | 07/06 | 1 | ✗ |
| Manny Machado SD | 07/06 | 1 | ✗ |
| Gavin Sheets SD | 07/06 | 1 | ✗ |