Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Fernando Tatis Jr.

San Diego Padres · RF · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
1.22
Edge
+2.8%
Trending splitsvs LHP 50%(20)
Last 15
33%5/15 over 1.5
Window avg
1.13
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
35%
7/20
2026
29%
26/90
Avg1.07
StreakL2

Tonight's matchup: Jose Cabrera (RHP)

Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Cutter
28.8%
89.6.364.40932.0%
Four-seam FB
26.8%
93.4.290.38724.7%
Sweeper
16.1%
83.4.206.29432.1%
Curveball
12.7%
86.3.214.28635.9%
Changeup
7.8%
86.7.257.40037.7%
Sinker
7.8%
93.0.315.41615.3%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Fernando Tatis Jr. clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Gavin Sheets o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 61% · base 57% · n=157 · -148 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 15 vs 1.5

official box scores
1vs ATL06/222vs ATL06/230vs ATL06/242vs LAD06/261vs LAD06/271vs LAD06/281@ CHC06/292@ CHC06/300@ CHC07/011@ LAD07/020@ LAD07/032@ LAD07/043@ LAD07/050vs AZ07/061vs AZ07/071.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-258+190
dabble_us_dfs1.5+217-213

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.51.512:12 AM ET11:15 AM ET
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs AZ Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Luis Campusano SD07/072
Samad Taylor SD07/071
Jackson Merrill SD07/071
Jake Cronenworth SD07/071
Gavin Sheets SD07/070
Sung-Mun Song SD07/070
Manny Machado SD07/070
Xander Bogaerts SD07/070
Jake Cronenworth SD07/062
Jackson Merrill SD07/062
Manny Machado SD07/061
Gavin Sheets SD07/061
Ty France SD07/061
Samad Taylor SD07/061

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

OPS
.923.769.706.825.7441.088.737.821.590
AVG
.385.360.294.333.325.455.211.357.282
onBasePercentage
.385.346.294.325.302.441.211.357.282
sluggingPercentage
.538.440.412.513.475.667.526.464.308
Exit Velo
91.88100.2197.5390.5393.2696.8997.4999.8784.46