Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Fernando Tatis Jr.

San Diego Padres · RF · Bats R

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.99
Edge
+14.4%
Trending splitsvs LHP 75%(16)
All 356 games
60%158/263 over 1 · 93 push
Window avg
1.75
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
63%
5/8
L20
64%
9/14
2026
57%
34/60
Avg1.75
StreakW1

Parlay pairs — when Fernando Tatis Jr. clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

Gavin Sheets o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 57% · n=88 · -148 DraftKings
Sung-Mun Song o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 45% · n=12 · -121 DraftKings
Jackson Merrill o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 66% · base 62% · n=134 · -206 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Basesall 356 games vs 1

official box scores
1vs NYM06/052vs NYM06/062vs NYM06/070vs CIN06/085vs CIN06/095vs CIN06/101@ BAL06/122@ BAL06/132@ BAL06/140@ STL06/151@ STL06/164@ STL06/170@ TEX06/194@ TEX06/201@ TEX06/211vs ATL06/226vs ATL06/230vs ATL06/243vs LAD06/261vs LAD06/271vs LAD06/281@ CHC06/298@ CHC06/300@ CHC07/012@ LAD07/020@ LAD07/033@ LAD07/044@ LAD07/050vs AZ07/062vs AZ07/071

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings1.5+130-174

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs AZ Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Jake Cronenworth SD07/074
Luis Campusano SD07/072
Jackson Merrill SD07/071
Samad Taylor SD07/071
Xander Bogaerts SD07/070
Manny Machado SD07/070
Gavin Sheets SD07/070
Sung-Mun Song SD07/070
Jake Cronenworth SD07/062
Jackson Merrill SD07/062
Gavin Sheets SD07/061
Manny Machado SD07/061
Samad Taylor SD07/061
Ty France SD07/061