Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Fernando Tatis Jr.

San Diego Padres · RF · Bats R

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.99
Edge
+14.4%
Trending splitsvs LHP 80%(20)
Last 20
70%14/20 over 0.5
Window avg
2.00
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
80%
8/10
L20
70%
14/20
2026
69%
43/62
Avg1.87
StreakW1

Parlay pairs — when Fernando Tatis Jr. clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

Gavin Sheets o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 57% · n=88 · -148 DraftKings
Sung-Mun Song o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 45% · n=12 · -121 DraftKings
Jackson Merrill o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 66% · base 62% · n=134 · -206 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Baseslast 20 vs 0.5

official box scores
2vs NYM06/060vs CIN06/085vs CIN06/091@ BAL06/120@ STL06/151@ STL06/160@ TEX06/191vs ATL06/226vs ATL06/230vs ATL06/243vs LAD06/261vs LAD06/271@ CHC06/298@ CHC06/302@ LAD07/020@ LAD07/033@ LAD07/044@ LAD07/050vs AZ07/062vs AZ07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings1.5+130-174

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs AZ Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Jake Cronenworth SD07/074
Luis Campusano SD07/072
Samad Taylor SD07/071
Jackson Merrill SD07/071
Gavin Sheets SD07/070
Sung-Mun Song SD07/070
Xander Bogaerts SD07/070
Manny Machado SD07/070
Jackson Merrill SD07/062
Jake Cronenworth SD07/062
Gavin Sheets SD07/061
Ty France SD07/061
Samad Taylor SD07/061
Manny Machado SD07/061