Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.99
Edge
+14.4%All 100 games
43%43/100 over 1.5
Window avg
1.62
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
60%
12/20
2026
60%
12/20
Avg1.62
StreakW1
Parlay pairs — when Fernando Tatis Jr. clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Gavin Sheets o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 57% · n=88 · -148 DraftKings
Sung-Mun Song o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 45% · n=12 · -121 DraftKings
Jackson Merrill o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 66% · base 62% · n=134 · -206 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — all 100 games vs 1.5
official box scoresLine movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs AZ — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Jake Cronenworth SD | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Luis Campusano SD | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jackson Merrill SD | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Samad Taylor SD | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Xander Bogaerts SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Sung-Mun Song SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Gavin Sheets SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Manny Machado SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jackson Merrill SD | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jake Cronenworth SD | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Gavin Sheets SD | 07/06 | 1 | ✗ |
| Samad Taylor SD | 07/06 | 1 | ✗ |
| Ty France SD | 07/06 | 1 | ✗ |
| Manny Machado SD | 07/06 | 1 | ✗ |