Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.59
Edge
-5.3%Last 20
6%1/18 over 2 · 2 push
Window avg
0.70
Median
0.5
L5
25%
1/4
L10
11%
1/9
L20
6%
1/18
2026
6%
1/18
Avg0.58
Streak—
Tonight's matchup: Jose Cabrera (RHP)
Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cutter | 28.8% | 89.6 | .364 | .409 | 32.0% |
| Four-seam FB | 26.8% | 93.4 | .290 | .387 | 24.7% |
| Sweeper | 16.1% | 83.4 | .206 | .294 | 32.1% |
| Curveball | 12.7% | 86.3 | .214 | .286 | 35.9% |
| Changeup | 7.8% | 86.7 | .257 | .400 | 37.7% |
| Sinker | 7.8% | 93.0 | .315 | .416 | 15.3% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Fernando Tatis Jr. clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too
Manny Machado o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 76% · base 64% · n=164 · -167 dabble_us_dfs
Jackson Merrill o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 62% · n=143 · -206 DraftKings
Gavin Sheets o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 57% · n=106 · -148 DraftKings
Jake Cronenworth o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 65% · base 57% · n=141 · -141 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Runs Scored — last 20 vs 2
official box scoresTonight's odds — Runs Scored
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| PrizePicks | 0.5 | -137 | -137 |
| Underdog | 0.5 | -137 | -137 |
| Betr Picks | 0.5 | -137 | -137 |
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +101 | +100 |
Line movement — Runs Scored
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
PrizePicksdabble_us_dfsUnderdogBetr Picks
League vs AZ — Runs Scored, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 3/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Jackson Merrill SD | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Gavin Sheets SD | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jake Cronenworth SD | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Samad Taylor SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Luis Campusano SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Manny Machado SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Xander Bogaerts SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Sung-Mun Song SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Sung-Mun Song SD | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Ty France SD | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Rodolfo Durán SD | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Samad Taylor SD | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jake Cronenworth SD | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Gavin Sheets SD | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
OPS
AVG
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo