Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Fernando Tatis Jr.

San Diego Padres · RF · Bats R

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.99
Edge
+14.4%
Last 20
60%12/20 over 1.5
Window avg
2.10
Median
2.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
60%
12/20
2026
60%
12/20
Avg1.62
StreakW1

Parlay pairs — when Fernando Tatis Jr. clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

Gavin Sheets o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 57% · n=88 · -148 DraftKings
Sung-Mun Song o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 45% · n=12 · -121 DraftKings
Jackson Merrill o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 66% · base 62% · n=134 · -206 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Baseslast 20 vs 1.5

official box scores
1vs DET03/260vs DET03/272@ BOS04/042@ BOS04/052@ LAA04/182vs CHC04/275vs CWS05/012vs STL05/070@ MIL05/141vs OAK05/222vs PHI05/252vs PHI05/275@ WSH05/301@ PHI06/030vs CIN06/082@ BAL06/144@ TEX06/200vs ATL06/241@ CHC06/298@ CHC06/301.5

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings1.5+130-174

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs AZ Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Jake Cronenworth SD07/074
Luis Campusano SD07/072
Jackson Merrill SD07/071
Samad Taylor SD07/071
Manny Machado SD07/070
Sung-Mun Song SD07/070
Xander Bogaerts SD07/070
Gavin Sheets SD07/070
Jake Cronenworth SD07/062
Jackson Merrill SD07/062
Gavin Sheets SD07/061
Ty France SD07/061
Manny Machado SD07/061
Samad Taylor SD07/061