Fernando Tatis Jr.

San Diego Padres · RF · Bats R

Tonight's line

0.5

Model proj

0.09

Edge

—

Batter Strikeouts Hits Hits + Runs + RBIs Home Runs RBIs Runs Scored Stolen Bases Total Bases Walks

Last20

Trending splits

Last 4

25%1/4 over 0.5

Window avg

0.25

Median

0.0

25%

1/4

L10

25%

1/4

L20

25%

1/4

2026

—

Avg0.25

StreakL3

Home Runs — last 4 vs 0.5

vs TOR only · official box scores

Parlay pairs — when Fernando Tatis Jr. clears 0.5 Home Runs, these hit too

Gavin Sheets o0.5 Hits

hits when he does 68% · base 57% · n=28 · -158 DraftKings

Jackson Merrill o0.5 Hits

hits when he does 67% · base 62% · n=43 · -241 DraftKings

Jake Cronenworth o0.5 Hits

hits when he does 67% · base 57% · n=43 · -156 BetOnline

Jake Cronenworth o0.5 Total Bases

hits when he does 67% · base 57% · n=43 · -149 BetOnline

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Tonight's odds — Home Runs

0.5

• = main line. Alt ladders load in the hour before first pitch.

Book	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Caesars	+370	—

Home Runs · best price bolded · odds refresh every poll

Line movement — Home Runs

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Caesars

Time	Book	Move
5:00 AM ET	Caesars	0.5 → 1.5

League vs TOR — Home Runs, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 0/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Casey Schmitt SF	07/08	0	✗
Heliot Ramos SF	07/08	0

Jr.'s hitting zones (batter data)

Where he produces at the plate — official MLB hot/cold zones from his own at-bats, catcher's view, red hot / blue cold. Compare against the opposing pitcher's arsenal above: a fastball-heavy righty living up-and-in is a problem if that zone runs cold.

Advantage: hits .455 middle-and-away · Weakness: .211 down-and-in

OPS

AVG

onBasePercentage

Exit Velo

sluggingPercentage