Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.55
Edge
-2.3%Last 20
25%5/20 over 1.5
Window avg
1.05
Median
0.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
20%
2/10
L20
25%
5/20
2026
42%
14/33
Avg1.39
StreakW1
Parlay pairs — when Adley Rutschman clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Pete Alonso o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 74% · base 68% · n=23 · -250 BetOnline
Blaze Alexander o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 57% · n=17 · -192 BetOnline
Blaze Alexander o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 71% · base 57% · n=17 · -185 BetOnline
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 20 vs 1.5
home only · official box scoresTonight's odds — Total Bases
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.5 | +119 | -158 |
| BetOnline | 1.5 | +120 | -156 |
| Bovada | 1.5 | +120 | -160 |
Line movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
BetOnlineDraftKingsBovada
League vs CHC — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 3/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Blaze Alexander BAL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Pete Alonso BAL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Samuel Basallo BAL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Gunnar Henderson BAL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Coby Mayo BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Taylor Ward BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Dylan Beavers BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jackson Holliday BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jordan Walker STL | 07/05 | 4 | ✓ |
| JJ Wetherholt STL | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Alec Burleson STL | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Masyn Winn STL | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
| Nathan Church STL | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
| Lars Nootbaar STL | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
OPS
onBasePercentage
AVG
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo