Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.93
Edge
-6.6%All 151 games
58%87/151 over 0.5
Window avg
0.83
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
45%
9/20
2026
61%
20/33
Avg0.83
StreakW2
Parlay pairs — when Adley Rutschman clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Taylor Ward o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 63% · n=43 · -207 DraftKings
Blaze Alexander o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 57% · n=30 · -192 BetOnline
Blaze Alexander o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 63% · base 57% · n=30 · -185 BetOnline
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — all 151 games vs 0.5
home only · official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
BetOnlineDraftKings
League vs CHC — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Blaze Alexander BAL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Pete Alonso BAL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Samuel Basallo BAL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Gunnar Henderson BAL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Taylor Ward BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Coby Mayo BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jackson Holliday BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Dylan Beavers BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Alec Burleson STL | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| JJ Wetherholt STL | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Masyn Winn STL | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jordan Walker STL | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Nathan Church STL | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Bryan Torres STL | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
OPS
onBasePercentage
AVG
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo