Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Adley Rutschman

Baltimore Orioles · C · Bats S

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.93
Edge
-6.6%
Last 122
64%78/122 over 0.5
Window avg
0.92
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
35%
7/20
2026
48%
14/29
Avg0.92
StreakW3

Parlay pairs — when Adley Rutschman clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Taylor Ward o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 63% · n=43 · -207 DraftKings
Blaze Alexander o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 57% · n=30 · -192 BetOnline
Blaze Alexander o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 63% · base 57% · n=30 · -185 BetOnline

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 122 vs 0.5

official box scores
0@ NYY09/282vs MIN03/260vs MIN03/281vs MIN03/291@ PIT04/032@ PIT04/040@ CWS04/081vs BOS04/251vs BOS04/262vs HOU04/300@ NYY05/020@ NYY05/031vs OAK05/090vs OAK05/101vs NYY05/130@ WSH05/160@ TB05/200vs DET05/240vs DET05/240vs TB05/250vs TOR05/300vs TOR05/311@ BOS06/040@ TOR06/061@ TOR06/070vs SD06/140@ SEA06/181vs WSH06/281vs CWS07/011@ CIN07/050.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-252+186
BetOnline0.5-263+193

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:10 AM ET12:10 AM ET
BetOnlineDraftKings

League vs CHC Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Pete Alonso BAL07/071
Blaze Alexander BAL07/071
Samuel Basallo BAL07/071
Gunnar Henderson BAL07/071
Jackson Holliday BAL07/070
Coby Mayo BAL07/070
Taylor Ward BAL07/070
Dylan Beavers BAL07/070
JJ Wetherholt STL07/052
Alec Burleson STL07/052
Masyn Winn STL07/051
Jordan Walker STL07/051
Nathan Church STL07/051
Iván Herrera STL07/050

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

OPS
1.000.5291.000.316.533.700.3481.433.667
onBasePercentage
.455.176.353.158.200.200.130.433.250
AVG
.455.188.353.167.214.222.130.433.250
sluggingPercentage
.545.375.647.167.357.556.2171.000.417
Exit Velo
94.9789.8884.4489.7295.9194.3688.2598.4380.91