Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.93
Edge
-6.6%Last 20
65%13/20 over 0.5
Window avg
1.00
Median
1.0
L5
100%
5/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
65%
13/20
2026
61%
37/61
Avg0.91
StreakW5
Tonight's matchup: Colin Rea (RHP)
Bats SwitchThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 41.9% | 93.7 | .260 | .481 | 9.9% |
| Changeup | 17.8% | 87.7 | .273 | .318 | 23.1% |
| Slider | 11.1% | 86.0 | .280 | .560 | 21.4% |
| Sweeper | 9.2% | 83.0 | .267 | .333 | 13.5% |
| Sinker | 9.1% | 92.4 | .188 | .344 | 14.3% |
| Cutter | 6.0% | 87.0 | .429 | 1.214 | 21.4% |
| Curveball | 5.0% | 79.8 | .214 | .214 | 19.4% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Adley Rutschman clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Taylor Ward o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 63% · n=43 · -196 dabble_us_dfs
Blaze Alexander o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 57% · n=30 · -192 BetOnline
Blaze Alexander o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 63% · base 57% · n=30 · -185 BetOnline
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 20 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Hits
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 0.5 | -252 | +186 |
| BetOnline | 0.5 | -263 | +193 |
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | -227 | +229 |
Line movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
BetOnlineDraftKingsdabble_us_dfs
League vs CHC — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Pete Alonso BAL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Blaze Alexander BAL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Samuel Basallo BAL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Gunnar Henderson BAL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Dylan Beavers BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Taylor Ward BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Coby Mayo BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jackson Holliday BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| JJ Wetherholt STL | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Alec Burleson STL | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Masyn Winn STL | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Nathan Church STL | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jordan Walker STL | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Lars Nootbaar STL | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
Exit Velo
AVG
sluggingPercentage
onBasePercentage
OPS