Tonight's line
16.5
Model proj
16.13
Edge
-3.6%Last 20
75%15/20 over 16.5
Window avg
17.90
Median
18.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
75%
15/20
2026
50%
1/2
Avg17.31
StreakW1
Parlay pairs — when Dean Kremer clears 16.5 Pitcher Outs, these hit too
Coby Mayo o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 63% · n=13 · -123 DraftKings
Adley Rutschman o0.5 Batter Strikeouts
hits when he does 67% · base 52% · n=21 · -137 Betr Picks
Adley Rutschman o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 62% · base 52% · n=21 · -227 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Pitcher Outs — last 20 vs 16.5
home only · official box scoresTonight's odds — Pitcher Outs
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 16.5 | -110 | -121 |
| PrizePicks | 16.5 | -137 | -137 |
| Betr Picks | 16.5 | -137 | -137 |
| dabble_us_dfs | 15.5 | -120 | +120 |
| dabble_us_dfs | 16.5 | +109 | -108 |
| Bovada | 16.5 | -115 | -125 |
Line movement — Pitcher Outs
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsBovadadabble_us_dfsPrizePicksBetr Picks
| Time | Book | Move |
|---|---|---|
| 11:15 AM ET | dabble_us_dfs | 15.5 → 16.5 |
League vs CHC — Pitcher Outs, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 6/14 would clear tonight's 16.5
| Shane Baz BAL | 07/07 | 18 | ✓ |
| Matthew Liberatore STL | 07/05 | 15 | ✗ |
| Kyle Leahy STL | 07/04 | 15 | ✗ |
| Andre Pallante STL | 07/03 | 17 | ✓ |
| Walker Buehler SD | 07/01 | 12 | ✗ |
| JP Sears SD | 06/30 | 14 | ✗ |
| Griffin Canning SD | 06/29 | 13 | ✗ |
| Brandon Woodruff MIL | 06/28 | 17 | ✓ |
| Kyle Harrison MIL | 06/27 | 15 | ✗ |
| Jacob Misiorowski MIL | 06/26 | 18 | ✓ |
| Freddy Peralta NYM | 06/25 | 17 | ✓ |
| Nolan McLean NYM | 06/24 | 18 | ✓ |
| Sean Manaea NYM | 06/24 | 9 | ✗ |
| Kodai Senga NYM | 06/23 | 11 | ✗ |
Pitch arsenal — 2026
Usage share and average velocity by pitch type.
Splitter39.4% · 82.5 mph
Four-seam FB21.3% · 93.5 mph
Sinker16.9% · 92.3 mph
Curveball14.2% · 77.2 mph
Cutter5.5% · 86.8 mph
Slider2.8% · 83.4 mph