Tonight's line
16.5
Model proj
16.13
Edge
-3.6%Last 15
57%8/14 over 17 · 1 push
Window avg
16.07
Median
18.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
44%
4/9
L20
56%
10/18
2026
67%
2/3
Avg16.47
StreakW2
Parlay pairs — when Dean Kremer clears 16.5 Pitcher Outs, these hit too
Coby Mayo o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 63% · n=13 · -123 DraftKings
Adley Rutschman o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 62% · base 52% · n=21 · -252 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Pitcher Outs — last 15 vs 17
official box scoresLine movement — Pitcher Outs
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsBovada
League vs CHC — Pitcher Outs, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 6/14 would clear tonight's 16.5
| Shane Baz BAL | 07/07 | 18 | ✓ |
| Matthew Liberatore STL | 07/05 | 15 | ✗ |
| Kyle Leahy STL | 07/04 | 15 | ✗ |
| Andre Pallante STL | 07/03 | 17 | ✓ |
| Walker Buehler SD | 07/01 | 12 | ✗ |
| JP Sears SD | 06/30 | 14 | ✗ |
| Griffin Canning SD | 06/29 | 13 | ✗ |
| Brandon Woodruff MIL | 06/28 | 17 | ✓ |
| Kyle Harrison MIL | 06/27 | 15 | ✗ |
| Jacob Misiorowski MIL | 06/26 | 18 | ✓ |
| Freddy Peralta NYM | 06/25 | 17 | ✓ |
| Nolan McLean NYM | 06/24 | 18 | ✓ |
| Sean Manaea NYM | 06/24 | 9 | ✗ |
| Kodai Senga NYM | 06/23 | 11 | ✗ |