Tonight's line
17.5
Model proj
16.26
Edge
-20.3%All 80 games
18%10/56 over 18 · 24 push
Window avg
15.82
Median
16.0
L5
50%
2/4
L10
50%
4/8
L20
24%
4/17
2026
27%
4/15
Avg15.82
StreakL1
Parlay pairs — when MacKenzie Gore clears 17.5 Pitcher Outs, these hit too
Jake Burger o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 100% · base 71% · n=10 · -206 DraftKings
Jake Burger o1.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 70% · base 43% · n=10 · +145 Bovada
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Pitcher Outs — all 80 games vs 18
official box scoresLine movement — Pitcher Outs
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsBovada
League vs LAA — Pitcher Outs, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 17.5
| Jacob deGrom TEX | 07/07 | 15 | ✗ |
| Ranger Suarez BOS | 07/05 | 8 | ✗ |
| Sonny Gray BOS | 07/04 | 18 | ✓ |
| Jake Bennett BOS | 07/03 | 23 | ✓ |
| Bryce Miller SEA | 07/02 | 21 | ✓ |
| Bryan Woo SEA | 06/30 | 19 | ✓ |
| George Kirby SEA | 06/29 | 24 | ✓ |
| Aaron Civale OAK | 06/28 | 15 | ✗ |
| Jack Perkins OAK | 06/27 | 15 | ✗ |
| J.T. Ginn OAK | 06/26 | 18 | ✓ |
| Trey Gibson BAL | 06/24 | 12 | ✗ |
| Shane Baz BAL | 06/23 | 15 | ✗ |
| Kyle Bradish BAL | 06/22 | 24 | ✓ |
| Jack Perkins OAK | 06/21 | 15 | ✗ |
Pitch arsenal — 2026
Usage share and average velocity by pitch type.
Four-seam FB45.0% · 95.4 mph
Curveball21.3% · 81.7 mph
Changeup10.2% · 86.7 mph
Slider9.5% · 85.8 mph
Cutter8.9% · 89.9 mph
Sinker5.1% · 95.2 mph