Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.14
Edge
-3.8%Last 10
10%1/10 over 0.5
Window avg
0.10
Median
0.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
10%
1/10
L20
10%
2/20
2026
16%
11/70
Avg0.15
StreakL9
Tonight's matchup: MacKenzie Gore (LHP)
Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 45.0% | 95.4 | .194 | .448 | 36.4% |
| Curveball | 21.3% | 81.7 | .235 | .471 | 41.9% |
| Changeup | 10.2% | 86.7 | .154 | .192 | 37.3% |
| Slider | 9.5% | 85.8 | .200 | .380 | 50.0% |
| Cutter | 8.9% | 89.9 | .250 | .438 | 27.1% |
| Sinker | 5.1% | 95.2 | .235 | .392 | 15.8% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Jorge Soler clears 0.5 Home Runs, these hit too
Nolan Schanuel o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 83% · base 67% · n=23 · -164 dabble_us_dfs
Logan O'Hoppe o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 56% · n=19 · -129 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Home Runs — last 10 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Home Runs
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +486 | -476 |
Line movement — Home Runs
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs TEX — Home Runs, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 1/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Denzer Guzman LAA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Zach Neto LAA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Wade Meckler LAA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Logan O'Hoppe LAA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Oswald Peraza LAA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jo Adell LAA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Josh Lowe LAA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nolan Schanuel LAA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Riley Greene DET | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jake Rogers DET | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Zach McKinstry DET | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Spencer Torkelson DET | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Kerry Carpenter DET | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Kevin McGonigle DET | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
sluggingPercentage
OPS