Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Michael Conforto

Chicago Cubs · LF · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.74
Edge
+0.5%
Last 20
45%9/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.70
Median
0.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
20%
2/10
L20
45%
9/20
2026
43%
9/21
Avg0.74
StreakL1

Tonight's matchup: Dean Kremer (RHP)

Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Splitter
39.4%
82.5.000.00063.6%
Four-seam FB
21.3%
93.5.204.42927.8%
Sinker
16.9%
92.3.6111.05617.2%
Curveball
14.2%
77.2.125.12547.1%
Cutter
5.5%
86.8.300.60017.4%
Slider
2.8%
83.4.4001.20021.7%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Hitslast 20 vs 0.5

official box scores
0vs WSH03/291@ CLE04/050@ TB04/061vs PIT04/111vs PIT04/121vs NYM04/191@ SD04/293vs CIN05/072@ CWS05/170vs HOU05/220vs HOU05/230vs HOU05/240@ PIT05/251vs SF06/050vs SF06/060@ SF06/140vs TOR06/190@ MIL06/283vs SD07/010vs STL07/030.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-124-107
dabble_us_dfs0.5-125+127
BetOnline0.5-130+101

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:10 AM ET11:15 AM ET
BetOnlineDraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs BAL Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Alex Bregman CHC07/072
Dansby Swanson CHC07/072
Miguel Amaya CHC07/072
Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC07/072
Nico Hoerner CHC07/071
Ian Happ CHC07/070
Seiya Suzuki CHC07/070
Michael Busch CHC07/070
Tyler Stephenson CIN07/052
Edwin Arroyo CIN07/051
Spencer Steer CIN07/051
Sal Stewart CIN07/051
Eugenio Suárez CIN07/050
Noelvi Marte CIN07/050

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.500.333.111.222.412.167.182.471.400
Exit Velo
97.9492.3084.5791.5195.0990.3185.5599.8396.53
AVG
.500.333.111.222.412.167.200.471.400
sluggingPercentage
.750.833.111.222.765.250.6001.1181.000
OPS
1.2501.167.222.4441.176.417.7271.5881.400