Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Michael Conforto

Chicago Cubs · LF · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
1.39
Edge
+11.9%
Last 30
11%3/27 over 2 · 3 push
Window avg
0.93
Median
0.0
L5
25%
1/4
L10
22%
2/9
L20
11%
2/18
2026
14%
7/49
Avg1.23
StreakL1

Tonight's matchup: Dean Kremer (RHP)

Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Splitter
39.4%
82.5.000.00063.6%
Four-seam FB
21.3%
93.5.204.42927.8%
Sinker
16.9%
92.3.6111.05617.2%
Curveball
14.2%
77.2.125.12547.1%
Cutter
5.5%
86.8.300.60017.4%
Slider
2.8%
83.4.4001.20021.7%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Total Baseslast 30 vs 2

official box scores
0vs HOU05/220vs HOU05/230vs HOU05/240@ PIT05/254@ PIT05/270@ PIT05/280@ STL05/292@ STL05/310vs OAK06/020vs OAK06/041vs SF06/050vs SF06/060vs SF06/070@ COL06/090@ COL06/100@ SF06/140vs COL06/150vs COL06/160vs TOR06/192@ NYM06/241@ NYM06/251@ MIL06/264@ MIL06/270@ MIL06/281vs SD06/290vs SD06/309vs SD07/010vs STL07/032vs STL07/041@ BAL07/072

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
BetOnline0.5-123-105

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs BAL Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Alex Bregman CHC07/073
Miguel Amaya CHC07/073
Dansby Swanson CHC07/072
Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC07/072
Nico Hoerner CHC07/071
Ian Happ CHC07/070
Michael Busch CHC07/070
Seiya Suzuki CHC07/070
Spencer Steer CIN07/054
Sal Stewart CIN07/052
Tyler Stephenson CIN07/052
Edwin Arroyo CIN07/051
Noelvi Marte CIN07/050
JJ Bleday CIN07/050

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.500.333.111.222.412.167.182.471.400
Exit Velo
97.9492.3084.5791.5195.0990.3185.5599.8396.53
AVG
.500.333.111.222.412.167.200.471.400
sluggingPercentage
.750.833.111.222.765.250.6001.1181.000
OPS
1.2501.167.222.4441.176.417.7271.5881.400