Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.45
Edge
-0.8%Last 10
10%1/10 over 2
Window avg
0.60
Median
0.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
10%
1/10
L20
5%
1/20
2026
2%
1/57
Avg0.40
StreakL3
Tonight's matchup: Dean Kremer (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Splitter | 39.4% | 82.5 | .000 | .000 | 63.6% |
| Four-seam FB | 21.3% | 93.5 | .204 | .429 | 27.8% |
| Sinker | 16.9% | 92.3 | .611 | 1.056 | 17.2% |
| Curveball | 14.2% | 77.2 | .125 | .125 | 47.1% |
| Cutter | 5.5% | 86.8 | .300 | .600 | 17.4% |
| Slider | 2.8% | 83.4 | .400 | 1.200 | 21.7% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Michael Conforto clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too
Pete Crow-Armstrong o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 82% · base 65% · n=17 · -222 BetOnline
Seiya Suzuki o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 80% · base 63% · n=10 · -183 DraftKings
Nico Hoerner o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 76% · base 67% · n=17 · -230 DraftKings
Alex Bregman o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 71% · base 35% · n=14 · +127 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Runs Scored — last 10 vs 2
official box scoresTonight's odds — Runs Scored
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +171 | -169 |
Line movement — Runs Scored
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs BAL — Runs Scored, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 6/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Miguel Amaya CHC | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Dansby Swanson CHC | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Nico Hoerner CHC | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Seiya Suzuki CHC | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Alex Bregman CHC | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Michael Busch CHC | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Ian Happ CHC | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Eugenio Suárez CIN | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Spencer Steer CIN | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Edwin Arroyo CIN | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Sal Stewart CIN | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| JJ Bleday CIN | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Noelvi Marte CIN | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
sluggingPercentage
OPS