Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Michael Conforto

Chicago Cubs · LF · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.74
Edge
+0.5%
Last 10
70%7/10 over 0.5
Window avg
1.00
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
45%
9/20
2026
42%
25/59
Avg0.67
StreakW2

Tonight's matchup: Dean Kremer (RHP)

Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Splitter
39.4%
82.5.000.00063.6%
Four-seam FB
21.3%
93.5.204.42927.8%
Sinker
16.9%
92.3.6111.05617.2%
Curveball
14.2%
77.2.125.12547.1%
Cutter
5.5%
86.8.300.60017.4%
Slider
2.8%
83.4.4001.20021.7%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Hitslast 10 vs 0.5

official box scores
1@ NYM06/251@ MIL06/261@ MIL06/270@ MIL06/281vs SD06/290vs SD06/303vs SD07/010vs STL07/032vs STL07/041@ BAL07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-124-107
dabble_us_dfs0.5-125+127
BetOnline0.5-130+101

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:10 AM ET11:15 AM ET
BetOnlineDraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs BAL Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Dansby Swanson CHC07/072
Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC07/072
Miguel Amaya CHC07/072
Alex Bregman CHC07/072
Nico Hoerner CHC07/071
Michael Busch CHC07/070
Ian Happ CHC07/070
Seiya Suzuki CHC07/070
Tyler Stephenson CIN07/052
Spencer Steer CIN07/051
Edwin Arroyo CIN07/051
Sal Stewart CIN07/051
TJ Friedl CIN07/050
Noelvi Marte CIN07/050

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.500.333.111.222.412.167.182.471.400
Exit Velo
97.9492.3084.5791.5195.0990.3185.5599.8396.53
AVG
.500.333.111.222.412.167.200.471.400
sluggingPercentage
.750.833.111.222.765.250.6001.1181.000
OPS
1.2501.167.222.4441.176.417.7271.5881.400