Michael Conforto

Chicago Cubs · LF · Bats L

Tonight's line

0.5

Model proj

0.23

Edge

—

Batter Strikeouts Hits Hits + Runs + RBIs Home Runs RBIs Runs Scored Stolen Bases Total Bases Walks

Last20

Trending splits

Last 20

5%1/20 over 0.5

Window avg

0.05

Median

0.0

0/5

L10

10%

1/10

L20

1/20

2026

0/4

Avg0.06

StreakL5

Home Runs — last 20 vs 0.5

home only · official box scores

Parlay pairs — when Michael Conforto clears 0.5 Home Runs, these hit too

Michael Busch o0.5 Hits

hits when he does 88% · base 59% · n=8 · -200 BetOnline

Nico Hoerner o0.5 Hits

hits when he does 75% · base 67% · n=8 · -213 BetOnline

Pete Crow-Armstrong o0.5 Hits

hits when he does 75% · base 66% · n=8 · -213 BetOnline

Ian Happ o0.5 Hits

hits when he does 63% · base 55% · n=8 · -166 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Tonight's odds — Home Runs

0.5

• = main line. Alt ladders load in the hour before first pitch.

Book	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Caesars	+390	—

Home Runs · best price bolded · odds refresh every poll

Line movement — Home Runs

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Caesars

Time	Book	Move
5:00 AM ET	Caesars	1.5 → 0.5
2:00 AM ET	Caesars	0.5 → 1.5

League vs CIN — Home Runs, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 2/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Bryce Harper PHI

07/09

✗

Conforto's hitting zones (batter data)

Where he produces at the plate — official MLB hot/cold zones from his own at-bats, catcher's view, red hot / blue cold. Compare against the opposing pitcher's arsenal above: a fastball-heavy righty living up-and-in is a problem if that zone runs cold.

Advantage: hits .500 up-and-away · Weakness: .111 up-and-in

OPS

sluggingPercentage

onBasePercentage

Exit Velo

AVG