Tonight's line
4.5
Model proj
4.57
Edge
+2.1%Batter StrikeoutsEarned RunsHitsHits AllowedHits + Runs + RBIsHome RunsPitcher OutsPitcher StrikeoutsPitcher WalksRBIsRuns ScoredStolen BasesTotal BasesWalks
All 40 games
35%14/40 over 4.5
Window avg
3.50
Median
2.5
L5
20%
1/5
L10
20%
2/10
L20
30%
6/20
2026
20%
2/10
Avg3.50
StreakL3
Parlay pairs — when Colin Rea clears 4.5 Pitcher Strikeouts, these hit too
Seiya Suzuki o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 90% · base 82% · n=20 · -183 DraftKings
Nico Hoerner o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 82% · base 78% · n=22 · -230 DraftKings
Seiya Suzuki o1.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 75% · base 66% · n=20 · +143 dabble_us_dfs
Carson Kelly o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 57% · n=14 · -156 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Pitcher Strikeouts — all 40 games vs 4.5
away only · official box scoresTonight's odds — Pitcher Strikeouts
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 4.5 | +105 | -134 |
| FanDuel | 4.5 | +102 | -130 |
| PrizePicks | 4 | -137 | -137 |
| Betr Picks | 4 | -137 | -137 |
| BetOnline | 4.5 | -105 | -123 |
| dabble_us_dfs | 4.5 | +141 | -139 |
| Bovada | 4.5 | +100 | -130 |
Line movement — Pitcher Strikeouts
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
FanDuelBetOnlineDraftKingsBovadadabble_us_dfsPrizePicks
League vs BAL — Pitcher Strikeouts, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 8/14 would clear tonight's 4.5
| Matthew Boyd CHC | 07/07 | 7 | ✓ |
| Nick Lodolo CIN | 07/05 | 4 | ✗ |
| Hunter Greene CIN | 07/04 | 7 | ✓ |
| Brady Singer CIN | 07/03 | 6 | ✓ |
| Noah Schultz CWS | 07/01 | 7 | ✓ |
| Erick Fedde CWS | 06/30 | 3 | ✗ |
| Sean Burke CWS | 06/29 | 8 | ✓ |
| Zack Littell WSH | 06/28 | 3 | ✗ |
| Foster Griffin WSH | 06/27 | 9 | ✓ |
| Andrew Alvarez WSH | 06/26 | 5 | ✓ |
| José Soriano LAA | 06/24 | 4 | ✗ |
| Ryan Johnson LAA | 06/23 | 8 | ✓ |
| Sam Aldegheri LAA | 06/22 | 3 | ✗ |
| Emmet Sheehan LAD | 06/21 | 4 | ✗ |
Pitch arsenal — 2026
Usage share and average velocity by pitch type.
Four-seam FB41.9% · 93.7 mph
Changeup17.8% · 87.7 mph
Slider11.1% · 86.0 mph
Sweeper9.2% · 83.0 mph
Sinker9.1% · 92.4 mph
Cutter6.0% · 87.0 mph
Curveball5.0% · 79.8 mph