Tonight's line
15.5
Model proj
15.79
Edge
+9.5%Batter StrikeoutsEarned RunsHitsHits AllowedHits + Runs + RBIsHome RunsPitcher OutsPitcher StrikeoutsPitcher WalksRBIsRuns ScoredStolen BasesTotal BasesWalks
Last 20
30%6/20 over 15.5
Window avg
14.35
Median
14.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
20%
2/10
L20
30%
6/20
2026
20%
2/10
Avg14.13
StreakL3
Parlay pairs — when Colin Rea clears 15.5 Pitcher Outs, these hit too
Alex Bregman o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 100% · base 85% · n=8 · -238 BetOnline
Michael Busch o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 58% · n=24 · -208 BetOnline
Dansby Swanson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 69% · n=24 · -147 DraftKings
Ian Happ o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 68% · base 57% · n=22 · -173 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Pitcher Outs — last 20 vs 15.5
away only · official box scoresLine movement — Pitcher Outs
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsBovada
League vs BAL — Pitcher Outs, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 5/14 would clear tonight's 15.5
| Matthew Boyd CHC | 07/07 | 18 | ✓ |
| Nick Lodolo CIN | 07/05 | 18 | ✓ |
| Hunter Greene CIN | 07/04 | 10 | ✗ |
| Brady Singer CIN | 07/03 | 15 | ✗ |
| Noah Schultz CWS | 07/01 | 13 | ✗ |
| Erick Fedde CWS | 06/30 | 15 | ✗ |
| Sean Burke CWS | 06/29 | 16 | ✓ |
| Zack Littell WSH | 06/28 | 15 | ✗ |
| Foster Griffin WSH | 06/27 | 21 | ✓ |
| Andrew Alvarez WSH | 06/26 | 13 | ✗ |
| José Soriano LAA | 06/24 | 9 | ✗ |
| Ryan Johnson LAA | 06/23 | 18 | ✓ |
| Sam Aldegheri LAA | 06/22 | 14 | ✗ |
| Emmet Sheehan LAD | 06/21 | 10 | ✗ |