Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Colin Rea

Chicago Cubs · P · Bats R · Throws R

Tonight's line
15.5
Model proj
15.79
Edge
+9.5%
Last 15
13%2/15 over 16.5
Window avg
12.20
Median
14.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
20%
2/10
L20
13%
2/15
2026
0%
0/3
Avg12.20
StreakL6

Parlay pairs — when Colin Rea clears 15.5 Pitcher Outs, these hit too

Alex Bregman o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 100% · base 85% · n=8 · -238 BetOnline
Michael Busch o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 58% · n=24 · -208 BetOnline
Dansby Swanson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 69% · n=24 · -147 DraftKings
Ian Happ o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 68% · base 57% · n=22 · -173 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Pitcher Outslast 15 vs 16.5

official box scores
12@ PHI06/0415vs PIT07/0912@ SF09/118vs PHI09/164@ PIT09/2417vs NYM09/291@ AZ03/3015@ CIN05/2417vs CIN05/3014@ SF08/2716vs WSH09/0710@ MIL10/0610@ CLE04/0316vs OAK06/0316vs TOR06/2016.5

Tonight's odds — Pitcher Outs

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings15.5+110-147
Bovada15.5+110-150

Line movement — Pitcher Outs

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

15.512:10 AM ET12:10 AM ET
DraftKingsBovada

League vs BAL Pitcher Outs, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 5/14 would clear tonight's 15.5

Matthew Boyd CHC07/0718
Nick Lodolo CIN07/0518
Hunter Greene CIN07/0410
Brady Singer CIN07/0315
Noah Schultz CWS07/0113
Erick Fedde CWS06/3015
Sean Burke CWS06/2916
Zack Littell WSH06/2815
Foster Griffin WSH06/2721
Andrew Alvarez WSH06/2613
José Soriano LAA06/249
Ryan Johnson LAA06/2318
Sam Aldegheri LAA06/2214
Emmet Sheehan LAD06/2110