Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.67
Edge
+0.4%Last 20
35%7/20 over 1.5
Window avg
1.15
Median
1.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
35%
7/20
2026
49%
35/71
Avg1.77
StreakL2
Parlay pairs — when Elly De La Cruz clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
JJ Bleday o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 63% · n=20 · -175 dabble_us_dfs
Spencer Steer o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 63% · n=165 · -175 dabble_us_dfs
Eugenio Suárez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 56% · n=21 · -167 dabble_us_dfs
Noelvi Marte o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 62% · base 57% · n=78 · -172 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 20 vs 1.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Total Bases
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betr Picks | 1.5 | -137 | — |
| dabble_us_dfs | 1.5 | +118 | -116 |
Line movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
dabble_us_dfsBetr Picks
League vs PHI — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Eugenio Suárez CIN | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Spencer Steer CIN | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Sal Stewart CIN | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Tyler Stephenson CIN | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| JJ Bleday CIN | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Matt McLain CIN | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| TJ Friedl CIN | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nathaniel Lowe CIN | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Tyler Tolbert KC | 07/06 | 9 | ✓ |
| Salvador Perez KC | 07/06 | 7 | ✓ |
| Lane Thomas KC | 07/06 | 5 | ✓ |
| Luke Maile KC | 07/06 | 4 | ✓ |
| Nick Loftin KC | 07/06 | 3 | ✓ |
| Bobby Witt Jr. KC | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |