Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.37
Edge
-0.9%Batter StrikeoutsEarned RunsHitsHits AllowedHits + Runs + RBIsHome RunsPitcher OutsPitcher StrikeoutsPitcher WalksRBIsRuns ScoredStolen BasesTotal BasesWalks
Last 20
45%9/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.60
Median
0.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
45%
9/20
2026
44%
12/27
Avg0.46
StreakL6
Tonight's matchup: Jared Jones (RHP)
Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 38.0% | 98.6 | .343 | .486 | 15.9% |
| Slider | 32.6% | 90.2 | .176 | .235 | 48.8% |
| Changeup | 17.8% | 93.4 | .000 | .000 | 44.1% |
| Curveball | 11.6% | 85.7 | .231 | .308 | 42.1% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Jorge Mateo clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too
Mike Yastrzemski o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 55% · n=18 · -108 dabble_us_dfs
Mike Yastrzemski o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 67% · base 55% · n=18 · -108 dabble_us_dfs
Drake Baldwin o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 67% · base 56% · n=12 · +137 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Runs Scored — last 20 vs 0.5
away only · official box scoresTonight's odds — Runs Scored
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +217 | -213 |
Line movement — Runs Scored
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs PIT — Runs Scored, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 8/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Michael Harris II ATL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Austin Riley ATL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Dominic Smith ATL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Matt Olson ATL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Mauricio Dubón ATL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Ozzie Albies ATL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jim Jarvis ATL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Mike Yastrzemski ATL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Drake Baldwin ATL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Dylan Crews WSH | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Keibert Ruiz WSH | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| James Wood WSH | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Luis García Jr. WSH | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| José Tena WSH | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
AVG
OPS
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