Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Jorge Mateo

Atlanta Braves · 2B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.43
Edge
-12.5%
Last 20
30%6/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.45
Median
0.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
30%
6/20
2026
29%
6/21
Avg0.62
StreakL2

Parlay pairs — when Jorge Mateo clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Mike Yastrzemski o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 76% · base 55% · n=17 · -134 DraftKings
Drake Baldwin o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 65% · n=13 · -197 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 20 vs 0.5

home only · official box scores
0vs CLE04/114vs CLE04/120vs MIA04/130vs PHI04/241vs PHI04/260vs DET04/301vs BOS05/170vs WSH05/240vs TOR06/020vs TOR06/040vs PIT06/070vs SF06/171vs MIL06/190vs MIL06/201vs STL06/300vs STL07/010vs NYM07/031vs NYM07/040vs NYM07/050vs NYM07/060.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-103-129

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs PIT Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 12/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Michael Harris II ATL07/072
Austin Riley ATL07/072
Mauricio Dubón ATL07/072
Mike Yastrzemski ATL07/071
Jim Jarvis ATL07/071
Ozzie Albies ATL07/071
Matt Olson ATL07/071
Drake Baldwin ATL07/070
Dominic Smith ATL07/070
Curtis Mead WSH07/052
José Tena WSH07/052
Keibert Ruiz WSH07/052
Luis García Jr. WSH07/052
Dylan Crews WSH07/051