Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.43
Edge
-12.5%Batter StrikeoutsEarned RunsHitsHits AllowedHits + Runs + RBIsHome RunsPitcher OutsPitcher StrikeoutsPitcher WalksRBIsRuns ScoredStolen BasesTotal BasesWalks
Last 82
48%39/82 over 0.5
Window avg
0.61
Median
0.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
40%
8/20
2026
38%
12/32
Avg0.61
StreakL1
Parlay pairs — when Jorge Mateo clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Mike Yastrzemski o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 76% · base 55% · n=17 · -134 DraftKings
Drake Baldwin o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 65% · n=13 · -197 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 82 vs 0.5
official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs PIT — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 12/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Austin Riley ATL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Mauricio Dubón ATL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Michael Harris II ATL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Matt Olson ATL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jim Jarvis ATL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Ozzie Albies ATL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Mike Yastrzemski ATL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Dominic Smith ATL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Drake Baldwin ATL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| José Tena WSH | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Keibert Ruiz WSH | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Curtis Mead WSH | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Luis García Jr. WSH | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| CJ Abrams WSH | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |