Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Jorge Mateo

Atlanta Braves · 2B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.43
Edge
-12.5%
Last 20
31%5/16 over 1 · 4 push
Window avg
0.70
Median
0.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
25%
2/8
L20
31%
5/16
2026
31%
4/13
Avg0.68
StreakL5

Parlay pairs — when Jorge Mateo clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Mike Yastrzemski o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 76% · base 55% · n=17 · -134 DraftKings
Drake Baldwin o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 65% · n=13 · -197 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 20 vs 1

official box scores
1vs LAD09/070@ TOR09/142@ CWS09/170vs TB09/250vs KC03/292@ AZ04/050@ WSH04/231vs PHI04/260vs DET04/302@ COL05/032@ LAD05/101vs BOS05/170vs WSH05/242@ BOS05/281@ CIN05/310vs PIT06/070@ NYM06/130@ NYM06/140vs MIL06/200vs NYM07/051

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-103-129

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs PIT Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 12/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Michael Harris II ATL07/072
Austin Riley ATL07/072
Mauricio Dubón ATL07/072
Ozzie Albies ATL07/071
Jim Jarvis ATL07/071
Mike Yastrzemski ATL07/071
Matt Olson ATL07/071
Dominic Smith ATL07/070
Drake Baldwin ATL07/070
Luis García Jr. WSH07/052
Keibert Ruiz WSH07/052
Curtis Mead WSH07/052
José Tena WSH07/052
CJ Abrams WSH07/051