Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Jorge Mateo

Atlanta Braves · 2B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.43
Edge
-12.5%
Trending splitsHome 29%(21)
Last 20
35%7/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.40
Median
0.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
35%
7/20
2026
43%
3/7
Avg0.54
StreakL2

Parlay pairs — when Jorge Mateo clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Mike Yastrzemski o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 76% · base 55% · n=17 · -134 DraftKings
Drake Baldwin o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 65% · n=13 · -197 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 20 vs 0.5

official box scores
1vs TB06/020vs ATL06/130@ NYY06/200@ SEA07/041@ OAK07/060@ TOR03/301vs WSH05/170@ BOS05/251vs CWS05/310vs CWS06/010@ SEA06/050@ TOR09/140vs TB09/250vs KC03/292@ AZ04/050@ WSH04/231vs PHI04/261vs BOS05/170@ NYM06/140vs NYM07/050.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-103-129

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs PIT Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 12/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Michael Harris II ATL07/072
Mauricio Dubón ATL07/072
Austin Riley ATL07/072
Mike Yastrzemski ATL07/071
Ozzie Albies ATL07/071
Jim Jarvis ATL07/071
Matt Olson ATL07/071
Dominic Smith ATL07/070
Drake Baldwin ATL07/070
Curtis Mead WSH07/052
José Tena WSH07/052
Luis García Jr. WSH07/052
Keibert Ruiz WSH07/052
CJ Abrams WSH07/051