Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.43
Edge
-12.5%Batter StrikeoutsEarned RunsHitsHits AllowedHits + Runs + RBIsHome RunsPitcher OutsPitcher StrikeoutsPitcher WalksRBIsRuns ScoredStolen BasesTotal BasesWalks
All 65 games
51%33/65 over 0.5
Window avg
0.65
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
20%
2/10
L20
45%
9/20
2026
39%
9/23
Avg0.65
StreakW2
Parlay pairs — when Jorge Mateo clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Drake Baldwin o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 77% · base 56% · n=13 · -137 Betr Picks
Mike Yastrzemski o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 76% · base 55% · n=17 · -134 DraftKings
Mike Yastrzemski o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 76% · base 55% · n=17 · -137 PrizePicks
Drake Baldwin o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 65% · n=13 · -197 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — all 65 games vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Hits
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 0.5 | -103 | -129 |
| PrizePicks | 0.5 | -137 | -137 |
| Underdog | 0.5 | -137 | -137 |
| DK Pick6 | 0.5 | -137 | -137 |
| Betr Picks | 0.5 | -137 | -137 |
Line movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsUnderdogPrizePicksBetr PicksDK Pick6
League vs PIT — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 12/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Michael Harris II ATL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Austin Riley ATL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Mauricio Dubón ATL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jim Jarvis ATL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Ozzie Albies ATL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Matt Olson ATL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Mike Yastrzemski ATL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Dominic Smith ATL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Drake Baldwin ATL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Keibert Ruiz WSH | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Luis García Jr. WSH | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| José Tena WSH | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Curtis Mead WSH | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Dylan Crews WSH | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |