Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Jorge Mateo

Atlanta Braves · 2B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.43
Edge
-12.5%
Last 3
67%2/3 over 0.5
Window avg
0.67
Median
1.0
L5
67%
2/3
L10
67%
2/3
L20
67%
2/3
2026
0%
0/1
Avg0.67
StreakL1

Parlay pairs — when Jorge Mateo clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Mike Yastrzemski o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 76% · base 55% · n=17 · -134 DraftKings
Drake Baldwin o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 65% · n=13 · -197 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 3 vs 0.5

vs PIT only · official box scores
1@ PIT04/061@ PIT04/070vs PIT06/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-103-129

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs PIT Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 12/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Mauricio Dubón ATL07/072
Austin Riley ATL07/072
Michael Harris II ATL07/072
Ozzie Albies ATL07/071
Matt Olson ATL07/071
Jim Jarvis ATL07/071
Mike Yastrzemski ATL07/071
Drake Baldwin ATL07/070
Dominic Smith ATL07/070
Luis García Jr. WSH07/052
Keibert Ruiz WSH07/052
José Tena WSH07/052
Curtis Mead WSH07/052
Dylan Crews WSH07/051