Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Wilyer Abreu

Boston Red Sox · RF · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.77
Edge
-10.3%
Trending splitsvs LHP 87%(23)
Last 20
60%12/20 over 0.5
Window avg
1.05
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
60%
12/20
2026
64%
9/14
Avg0.94
StreakL3

Parlay pairs — when Wilyer Abreu clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Carlos Narváez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 57% · n=73 · -116 BetOnline
Carlos Narváez o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 63% · base 57% · n=73 · -108 BetOnline

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 20 vs 0.5

away only · official box scores
0@ LAA06/250@ WSH07/040@ CHC07/182@ CHC07/201@ MIN07/302@ SD08/101@ CIN03/262@ CIN03/283@ CIN03/292@ HOU04/010@ STL04/122@ BAL04/251@ BAL04/262@ TOR04/290@ ATL05/171@ CLE05/302@ CLE05/310@ NYY06/070@ TB06/100@ COL06/240.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-214+159
BetOnline0.5-213+162

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:11 AM ET12:11 AM ET
BetOnlineDraftKings

League vs CWS Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 13/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Andruw Monasterio BOS07/072
Willson Contreras BOS07/072
Jarren Duran BOS07/072
Ceddanne Rafaela BOS07/072
Connor Wong BOS07/071
Anthony Seigler BOS07/071
Romy Gonzalez BOS07/071
Caleb Durbin BOS07/070
Chase DeLauter CLE07/052
Daniel Schneemann CLE07/052
Gabriel Arias CLE07/052
Travis Bazzana CLE07/051
Patrick Bailey CLE07/051
Steven Kwan CLE07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

OPS
.895.8951.294.769.581.708.387.4471.385
sluggingPercentage
.588.5261.000.522.372.458.226.263.846
Exit Velo
94.2897.2190.0596.9492.2392.4291.7293.5595.01
onBasePercentage
.368.368.353.308.209.250.161.184.538
AVG
.353.368.375.348.209.250.161.184.538