Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.33
Edge
-7.4%Last 20
5%1/20 over 5.5
Window avg
1.35
Median
1.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
0%
0/10
L20
5%
1/20
2026
8%
7/87
Avg1.49
StreakL12
Tonight's matchup: Davis Martin (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 26.0% | 92.7 | .227 | .432 | 26.5% |
| Sinker | 17.9% | 90.8 | .321 | .446 | 15.5% |
| Changeup | 14.8% | 88.7 | .222 | .259 | 32.3% |
| Slider | 14.5% | 85.3 | .271 | .458 | 30.5% |
| Cutter | 13.5% | 87.0 | .303 | .485 | 13.4% |
| Curveball | 13.3% | 80.7 | .238 | .524 | 20.5% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Wilyer Abreu clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Carlos Narváez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 68% · base 57% · n=44 · -116 BetOnline
Carlos Narváez o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 68% · base 57% · n=44 · -108 BetOnline
Romy Gonzalez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 54% · n=39 · -186 DraftKings
Willson Contreras o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 62% · base 49% · n=34 · +121 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 20 vs 5.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Total Bases
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline | 1.5 | +118 | -154 |
| dabble_us_dfs | 1.5 | +126 | -125 |
Line movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
BetOnlinedabble_us_dfs
League vs CWS — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Ceddanne Rafaela BOS | 07/07 | 5 | ✓ |
| Andruw Monasterio BOS | 07/07 | 5 | ✓ |
| Willson Contreras BOS | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Jarren Duran BOS | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Romy Gonzalez BOS | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Connor Wong BOS | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Anthony Seigler BOS | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Caleb Durbin BOS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Gabriel Arias CLE | 07/05 | 5 | ✓ |
| Chase DeLauter CLE | 07/05 | 5 | ✓ |
| Daniel Schneemann CLE | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Travis Bazzana CLE | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Kahlil Watson CLE | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
| Cooper Ingle CLE | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
onBasePercentage
OPS