Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.60
Edge
-1.4%Last 20
0%0/20 over 3.5
Window avg
0.60
Median
0.5
L5
0%
0/5
L10
0%
0/10
L20
0%
0/20
2026
0%
0/87
Avg0.46
StreakL334
Tonight's matchup: Davis Martin (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 26.0% | 92.7 | .227 | .432 | 26.5% |
| Sinker | 17.9% | 90.8 | .321 | .446 | 15.5% |
| Changeup | 14.8% | 88.7 | .222 | .259 | 32.3% |
| Slider | 14.5% | 85.3 | .271 | .458 | 30.5% |
| Cutter | 13.5% | 87.0 | .303 | .485 | 13.4% |
| Curveball | 13.3% | 80.7 | .238 | .524 | 20.5% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Wilyer Abreu clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too
Anthony Seigler o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 89% · base 81% · n=9 · -169 dabble_us_dfs
Willson Contreras o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 76% · base 69% · n=37 · -189 dabble_us_dfs
Willson Contreras o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 73% · base 49% · n=37 · +121 dabble_us_dfs
Anthony Seigler o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 67% · base 56% · n=9 · +136 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Runs Scored — last 20 vs 3.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Runs Scored
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DK Pick6 | 0.5 | -137 | — |
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +115 | -114 |
Line movement — Runs Scored
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
dabble_us_dfsDK Pick6
League vs CWS — Runs Scored, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Connor Wong BOS | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Ceddanne Rafaela BOS | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Andruw Monasterio BOS | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Willson Contreras BOS | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jarren Duran BOS | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Romy Gonzalez BOS | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Caleb Durbin BOS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Anthony Seigler BOS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Chase DeLauter CLE | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Kyle Manzardo CLE | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Travis Bazzana CLE | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Gabriel Arias CLE | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Kahlil Watson CLE | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Daniel Schneemann CLE | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
onBasePercentage
OPS