Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Wilyer Abreu

Boston Red Sox · RF · Bats L

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.33
Edge
-7.4%
Last 20
46%6/13 over 1 · 7 push
Window avg
1.60
Median
1.0
L5
0%
0/2
L10
29%
2/7
L20
46%
6/13
2026
46%
13/28
Avg1.46
Streak

Parlay pairs — when Wilyer Abreu clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

Carlos Narváez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 68% · base 57% · n=44 · -116 BetOnline
Carlos Narváez o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 68% · base 57% · n=44 · -108 BetOnline
Romy Gonzalez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 54% · n=39 · -186 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Baseslast 20 vs 1

home only · official box scores
4vs MIN05/240vs ATL05/261vs ATL05/272vs ATL05/280vs BAL06/025vs BAL06/031vs BAL06/048vs TEX06/121vs TEX06/131vs TEX06/140vs TOR06/163vs TOR06/170vs TOR06/180vs NYY06/253vs NYY06/260vs NYY06/270vs NYY06/281vs WSH06/291vs WSH06/301vs WSH07/011

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
BetOnline1.5+118-154

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs CWS Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Ceddanne Rafaela BOS07/075
Andruw Monasterio BOS07/075
Willson Contreras BOS07/073
Jarren Duran BOS07/073
Romy Gonzalez BOS07/072
Connor Wong BOS07/071
Anthony Seigler BOS07/071
Caleb Durbin BOS07/070
Chase DeLauter CLE07/055
Gabriel Arias CLE07/055
Daniel Schneemann CLE07/052
Travis Bazzana CLE07/052
Steven Kwan CLE07/051
Kahlil Watson CLE07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

OPS
.895.8951.294.769.581.708.387.4471.385
sluggingPercentage
.588.5261.000.522.372.458.226.263.846
Exit Velo
94.2897.2190.0596.9492.2392.4291.7293.5595.01
onBasePercentage
.368.368.353.308.209.250.161.184.538
AVG
.353.368.375.348.209.250.161.184.538