Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Wilyer Abreu

Boston Red Sox · RF · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.77
Edge
-10.3%
Last 30
57%17/30 over 0.5
Window avg
0.77
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
65%
13/20
2026
58%
37/64
Avg0.88
StreakL1

Tonight's matchup: Davis Martin (RHP)

Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
26.0%
92.7.227.43226.5%
Sinker
17.9%
90.8.321.44615.5%
Changeup
14.8%
88.7.222.25932.3%
Slider
14.5%
85.3.271.45830.5%
Cutter
13.5%
87.0.303.48513.4%
Curveball
13.3%
80.7.238.52420.5%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Wilyer Abreu clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Anthony Seigler o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 67% · base 56% · n=9 · +136 dabble_us_dfs
Carlos Narváez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 57% · n=73 · -116 BetOnline
Carlos Narváez o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 63% · base 57% · n=73 · -108 BetOnline
Willson Contreras o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 60% · base 49% · n=58 · +121 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 30 vs 0.5

official box scores
0@ ATL05/170@ KC05/181@ KC05/200vs MIN05/232vs MIN05/240vs ATL05/261vs ATL05/270@ CLE05/292@ CLE05/310vs BAL06/022vs BAL06/030@ NYY06/071@ TB06/090@ TB06/103vs TEX06/121vs TEX06/131vs TEX06/140vs TOR06/162vs TOR06/170vs TOR06/181@ SEA06/191@ SEA06/201@ COL06/220vs NYY06/251vs NYY06/260vs NYY06/271vs WSH06/291vs WSH06/301vs WSH07/010@ LAA07/050.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-214+159
BetOnline0.5-213+162
dabble_us_dfs0.5-200+204

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:11 AM ET11:15 AM ET
BetOnlineDraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs CWS Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 13/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Jarren Duran BOS07/072
Willson Contreras BOS07/072
Andruw Monasterio BOS07/072
Ceddanne Rafaela BOS07/072
Connor Wong BOS07/071
Anthony Seigler BOS07/071
Romy Gonzalez BOS07/071
Caleb Durbin BOS07/070
Daniel Schneemann CLE07/052
Gabriel Arias CLE07/052
Chase DeLauter CLE07/052
Patrick Bailey CLE07/051
Travis Bazzana CLE07/051
Kahlil Watson CLE07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

sluggingPercentage
.588.4761.000.500.372.458.226.263.846
Exit Velo
94.2896.8090.0595.9292.2392.4291.7293.5595.01
AVG
.353.333.375.333.209.250.161.184.538
onBasePercentage
.368.333.353.296.209.250.161.184.538
OPS
.895.8101.294.741.581.708.387.4471.385