Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Wilyer Abreu

Boston Red Sox · RF · Bats L

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.33
Edge
-7.4%
Last 30
43%13/30 over 1.5
Window avg
1.47
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
55%
11/20
2026
52%
12/23
Avg0.95
StreakL1

Parlay pairs — when Wilyer Abreu clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

Carlos Narváez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 68% · base 57% · n=44 · -116 BetOnline
Carlos Narváez o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 68% · base 57% · n=44 · -108 BetOnline
Romy Gonzalez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 54% · n=39 · -186 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Baseslast 30 vs 1.5

official box scores
0@ CHC07/190@ PHI07/230vs LAD07/260vs HOU08/032vs KC08/040@ NYY09/300@ NYY10/011@ CIN03/262vs MIL04/081vs DET04/181vs DET04/191vs NYY04/222@ BAL04/252@ TOR04/291@ DET05/046@ DET05/052vs PHI05/142@ KC05/193vs MIN05/222vs ATL05/282@ CLE05/301vs BAL06/041@ NYY06/051@ TB06/087@ COL06/230@ COL06/240vs NYY06/282@ LAA07/032@ LAA07/040@ CWS07/071.5

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
BetOnline1.5+118-154

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs CWS Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Andruw Monasterio BOS07/075
Ceddanne Rafaela BOS07/075
Jarren Duran BOS07/073
Willson Contreras BOS07/073
Romy Gonzalez BOS07/072
Anthony Seigler BOS07/071
Connor Wong BOS07/071
Caleb Durbin BOS07/070
Chase DeLauter CLE07/055
Gabriel Arias CLE07/055
Travis Bazzana CLE07/052
Daniel Schneemann CLE07/052
Kahlil Watson CLE07/051
Patrick Bailey CLE07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

OPS
.895.8951.294.769.581.708.387.4471.385
sluggingPercentage
.588.5261.000.522.372.458.226.263.846
Exit Velo
94.2897.2190.0596.9492.2392.4291.7293.5595.01
onBasePercentage
.368.368.353.308.209.250.161.184.538
AVG
.353.368.375.348.209.250.161.184.538