Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Wilyer Abreu

Boston Red Sox · RF · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.77
Edge
-10.3%
All 74 games
47%35/74 over 0.5
Window avg
0.68
Median
0.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
85%
17/20
2026
87%
20/23
Avg0.68
StreakL1

Tonight's matchup: Davis Martin (RHP)

Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
26.0%
92.7.227.43226.5%
Sinker
17.9%
90.8.321.44615.5%
Changeup
14.8%
88.7.222.25932.3%
Slider
14.5%
85.3.271.45830.5%
Cutter
13.5%
87.0.303.48513.4%
Curveball
13.3%
80.7.238.52420.5%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Wilyer Abreu clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Anthony Seigler o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 67% · base 56% · n=9 · +136 dabble_us_dfs
Carlos Narváez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 57% · n=73 · -116 BetOnline
Carlos Narváez o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 63% · base 57% · n=73 · -108 BetOnline
Willson Contreras o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 60% · base 49% · n=58 · +121 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitsall 74 games vs 0.5

official box scores
0@ CHC07/190@ PHI07/230vs LAD07/260vs HOU08/032vs KC08/040@ NYY09/300@ NYY10/011@ CIN03/262vs MIL04/081vs DET04/181vs DET04/191vs NYY04/222@ BAL04/252@ TOR04/291@ DET05/043@ DET05/052vs PHI05/142@ KC05/192vs MIN05/221vs ATL05/281@ CLE05/301vs BAL06/041@ NYY06/051@ TB06/082@ COL06/230@ COL06/240vs NYY06/281@ LAA07/031@ LAA07/040@ CWS07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-214+159
BetOnline0.5-213+162
dabble_us_dfs0.5-200+204

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:11 AM ET11:15 AM ET
BetOnlineDraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs CWS Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 13/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Ceddanne Rafaela BOS07/072
Willson Contreras BOS07/072
Andruw Monasterio BOS07/072
Jarren Duran BOS07/072
Connor Wong BOS07/071
Anthony Seigler BOS07/071
Romy Gonzalez BOS07/071
Caleb Durbin BOS07/070
Gabriel Arias CLE07/052
Daniel Schneemann CLE07/052
Chase DeLauter CLE07/052
Steven Kwan CLE07/051
Patrick Bailey CLE07/051
Travis Bazzana CLE07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

sluggingPercentage
.588.4761.000.500.372.458.226.263.846
Exit Velo
94.2896.8090.0595.9292.2392.4291.7293.5595.01
AVG
.353.333.375.333.209.250.161.184.538
onBasePercentage
.368.333.353.296.209.250.161.184.538
OPS
.895.8101.294.741.581.708.387.4471.385