Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Iván Herrera

St. Louis Cardinals · C · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.73
Edge
-10.3%
Trending splitsvs LHP 56%(25)
Last 30
60%18/30 over 0.5
Window avg
0.80
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
55%
11/20
2026
70%
40/57
Avg1.02
StreakL1

Tonight's matchup: Kyle Harrison (LHP)

Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
58.7%
95.0.253.43715.3%
Slurve
30.4%
82.2
Changeup
9.3%
86.3.294.41221.7%
Sinker
1.7%
94.8.231.43112.2%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Iván Herrera clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

JJ Wetherholt o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 66% · n=56 · -182 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 30 vs 0.5

official box scores
0vs PIT05/202@ CIN05/231@ CIN05/231@ MIL05/261vs CHC05/290vs CHC05/302vs CHC05/310vs TEX06/011vs TEX06/021vs TEX06/031vs CIN06/053@ NYM06/091@ NYM06/102@ MIN06/120vs SD06/150vs SD06/160@ KC06/181@ KC06/191vs AZ06/220vs AZ06/230vs AZ06/240vs MIA06/261vs MIA06/270@ ATL06/301@ ATL07/011@ ATL07/021@ CHC07/040vs MIL07/062vs MIL07/070vs MIL07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-198+148
dabble_us_dfs0.5-189+192

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:11 AM ET11:15 AM ET
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs MIL Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 6/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Jordan Walker STL07/072
Jordan Walker STL07/071
Nelson Velázquez STL07/071
José Fermín STL07/071
JJ Wetherholt STL07/071
Lars Nootbaar STL07/071
Jimmy Crooks STL07/070
Masyn Winn STL07/070
José Fermín STL07/070
Alec Burleson STL07/070
Nathan Church STL07/070
Bryan Torres STL07/070
Blaze Jordan STL07/070
Nathan Church STL07/070

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

OPS
.8001.000.800.8801.049.846.353.680.714
AVG
.300.400.368.280.415.289.063.320.250
onBasePercentage
.300.400.350.280.415.282.118.320.250
sluggingPercentage
.500.600.474.600.634.579.250.360.464
Exit Velo
78.1587.2195.2083.0091.8595.9284.2098.0894.41