Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.49
Edge
-6.2%Last 20
10%2/20 over 2.5
Window avg
0.60
Median
0.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
10%
1/10
L20
10%
2/20
2026
4%
4/90
Avg0.56
StreakL5
Tonight's matchup: Kyle Harrison (LHP)
Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 58.7% | 95.0 | .253 | .437 | 15.3% |
| Slurve | 30.4% | 82.2 | — | — | — |
| Changeup | 9.3% | 86.3 | .294 | .412 | 21.7% |
| Sinker | 1.7% | 94.8 | .231 | .431 | 12.2% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Iván Herrera clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too
Alec Burleson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 78% · base 67% · n=101 · -179 dabble_us_dfs
JJ Wetherholt o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 66% · n=36 · -182 dabble_us_dfs
Masyn Winn o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 68% · n=96 · -156 dabble_us_dfs
Jordan Walker o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 65% · n=84 · -200 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Runs Scored — last 20 vs 2.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Runs Scored
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betr Picks | 0.5 | -137 | — |
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +123 | -122 |
Line movement — Runs Scored
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
dabble_us_dfsBetr Picks
League vs MIL — Runs Scored, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Nelson Velázquez STL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jordan Walker STL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jordan Walker STL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| JJ Wetherholt STL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Alec Burleson STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nathan Church STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jimmy Crooks STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| José Fermín STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| José Fermín STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Lars Nootbaar STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| JJ Wetherholt STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Blaze Jordan STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Bryan Torres STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Masyn Winn STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
OPS
AVG
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo