Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Iván Herrera

St. Louis Cardinals · C · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.73
Edge
-10.3%
All 78 games
67%52/78 over 0.5
Window avg
0.96
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
55%
11/20
2026
56%
14/25
Avg0.96
StreakL2

Tonight's matchup: Kyle Harrison (LHP)

Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
58.7%
95.0.253.43715.3%
Slurve
30.4%
82.2
Changeup
9.3%
86.3.294.41221.7%
Sinker
1.7%
94.8.231.43112.2%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Iván Herrera clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

JJ Wetherholt o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 66% · n=56 · -182 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitsall 78 games vs 0.5

official box scores
1@ CIN08/300vs OAK09/031@ MIL09/141vs CIN09/161vs MIL09/210vs TB03/291@ DET04/031vs BOS04/100vs BOS04/111vs CLE04/140@ PIT04/270vs LAD05/032@ OAK05/121@ OAK05/141vs KC05/161@ MIL05/261vs CHC05/292vs CHC05/311vs TEX06/031vs CIN06/062@ MIN06/130vs SD06/150@ KC06/180vs AZ06/230vs AZ06/240@ ATL06/303@ CHC07/031@ CHC07/040vs MIL07/060vs MIL07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-198+148
dabble_us_dfs0.5-189+192

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:11 AM ET11:15 AM ET
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs MIL Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 6/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Jordan Walker STL07/072
Nelson Velázquez STL07/071
Jordan Walker STL07/071
JJ Wetherholt STL07/071
Lars Nootbaar STL07/071
José Fermín STL07/071
Nathan Church STL07/070
Alec Burleson STL07/070
Bryan Torres STL07/070
Jimmy Crooks STL07/070
Alec Burleson STL07/070
José Fermín STL07/070
Nathan Church STL07/070
Blaze Jordan STL07/070

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

OPS
.8001.000.800.8801.049.846.353.680.714
AVG
.300.400.368.280.415.289.063.320.250
onBasePercentage
.300.400.350.280.415.282.118.320.250
sluggingPercentage
.500.600.474.600.634.579.250.360.464
Exit Velo
78.1587.2195.2083.0091.8595.9284.2098.0894.41