Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.10
Edge
-10.4%Last 20
70%14/20 over 0.5
Window avg
1.70
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
70%
14/20
2026
63%
5/8
Avg1.50
StreakL1
Parlay pairs — when Iván Herrera clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
JJ Wetherholt o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 80% · base 66% · n=30 · -203 DraftKings
Alec Burleson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 67% · n=92 · -231 DraftKings
Michael McGreevy o16.5 Pitcher Outs
hits when he does 69% · base 66% · n=13 · -133 DraftKings
Michael McGreevy o3.5 Pitcher Strikeouts
hits when he does 62% · base 44% · n=13 · -118 FanDuel
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 20 vs 0.5
vs MIL only · official box scoresLine movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsBovada
League vs MIL — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Nelson Velázquez STL | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Jordan Walker STL | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Jordan Walker STL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Lars Nootbaar STL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| JJ Wetherholt STL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| José Fermín STL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| JJ Wetherholt STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Alec Burleson STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Masyn Winn STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nathan Church STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| José Fermín STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Alec Burleson STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jimmy Crooks STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nathan Church STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |