Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Gunnar Henderson

Baltimore Orioles · SS · Bats L

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.39
Edge
-11.8%
Last 5
0%0/5 over 1.5
Window avg
0.60
Median
1.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
20%
2/10
L20
35%
7/20
2026
38%
35/91
Avg1.82
StreakL5

Tonight's matchup: Colin Rea (RHP)

Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
41.9%
93.7.140.25618.7%
Changeup
17.8%
87.7.269.46222.1%
Slider
11.1%
86.0.179.30432.5%
Sweeper
9.2%
83.0.233.50031.5%
Sinker
9.1%
92.4.278.45813.6%
Cutter
6.0%
87.0.300.75040.5%
Curveball
5.0%
79.8.294.50025.3%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Total Baseslast 5 vs 1.5

official box scores
1vs CWS07/010@ CIN07/031@ CIN07/040@ CIN07/051vs CHC07/071.5

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings1.5-103-129
PrizePicks1.5-137-137
Underdog1.5-137-137
Betr Picks1.5-137-137
Bovada1.5+100-130
dabble_us_dfs1.5+105-104
BetOnline1.5-105-123

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

1.512:10 AM ET11:15 AM ET
BetOnlineDraftKingsBovadaUnderdogdabble_us_dfsPrizePicks

League vs CHC Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Adley Rutschman BAL07/072
Blaze Alexander BAL07/071
Pete Alonso BAL07/071
Samuel Basallo BAL07/071
Coby Mayo BAL07/070
Jackson Holliday BAL07/070
Taylor Ward BAL07/070
Dylan Beavers BAL07/070
Jordan Walker STL07/054
JJ Wetherholt STL07/052
Alec Burleson STL07/052
Nathan Church STL07/051
Masyn Winn STL07/051
Bryan Torres STL07/050

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.261.250.208.273.316.333.237.200.407
AVG
.200.250.208.250.324.333.237.200.407
Exit Velo
92.2192.5081.8292.4097.7587.1389.7294.0494.83
sluggingPercentage
.350.850.375.344.757.667.289.320.815
OPS
.5651.100.583.6061.0531.000.526.5201.222