Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
0.90
Edge
-9.5%Last 30
30%9/30 over 1.5
Window avg
0.97
Median
1.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
30%
6/20
2026
28%
11/39
Avg1.08
StreakL4
Tonight's matchup: Colin Rea (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 41.9% | 93.7 | .140 | .256 | 18.7% |
| Changeup | 17.8% | 87.7 | .269 | .462 | 22.1% |
| Slider | 11.1% | 86.0 | .179 | .304 | 32.5% |
| Sweeper | 9.2% | 83.0 | .233 | .500 | 31.5% |
| Sinker | 9.1% | 92.4 | .278 | .458 | 13.6% |
| Cutter | 6.0% | 87.0 | .300 | .750 | 40.5% |
| Curveball | 5.0% | 79.8 | .294 | .500 | 25.3% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Gunnar Henderson clears 1.5 Hits, these hit too
Samuel Basallo o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 77% · base 56% · n=26 · -208 dabble_us_dfs
Blaze Alexander o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 65% · base 57% · n=17 · -192 BetOnline
Blaze Alexander o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 65% · base 57% · n=17 · -185 BetOnline
Colton Cowser o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 61% · base 54% · n=87 · -122 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 30 vs 1.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Hits
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.5 | +192 | -260 |
| BetOnline | 1.5 | +186 | -250 |
| dabble_us_dfs | 1.5 | +203 | -200 |
Line movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
BetOnlineDraftKingsdabble_us_dfs
League vs CHC — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 3/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Adley Rutschman BAL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Samuel Basallo BAL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Blaze Alexander BAL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Pete Alonso BAL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Taylor Ward BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Dylan Beavers BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Coby Mayo BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jackson Holliday BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| JJ Wetherholt STL | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Alec Burleson STL | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Nathan Church STL | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
| Jordan Walker STL | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
| Masyn Winn STL | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
| Iván Herrera STL | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
AVG
Exit Velo
sluggingPercentage
OPS