Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Gunnar Henderson

Baltimore Orioles · SS · Bats L

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.39
Edge
-11.8%
Trending splitsvs RHP 12%(33)
Last 20
18%3/17 over 3 · 3 push
Window avg
1.45
Median
1.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
0%
0/8
L20
18%
3/17
2026
21%
17/82
Avg1.82
StreakL5

Tonight's matchup: Colin Rea (RHP)

Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
41.9%
93.7.140.25618.7%
Changeup
17.8%
87.7.269.46222.1%
Slider
11.1%
86.0.179.30432.5%
Sweeper
9.2%
83.0.233.50031.5%
Sinker
9.1%
92.4.278.45813.6%
Cutter
6.0%
87.0.300.75040.5%
Curveball
5.0%
79.8.294.50025.3%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Total Baseslast 20 vs 3

official box scores
2vs SD06/140@ SEA06/164@ SEA06/170@ SEA06/184@ LAD06/190@ LAD06/203@ LAD06/215@ LAA06/221@ LAA06/230@ LAA06/240vs WSH06/261vs WSH06/270vs WSH06/283vs CWS06/293vs CWS06/301vs CWS07/010@ CIN07/031@ CIN07/040@ CIN07/051vs CHC07/073

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings1.5-103-129
PrizePicks1.5-137-137
Underdog1.5-137-137
Betr Picks1.5-137-137
Bovada1.5+100-130
dabble_us_dfs1.5+105-104
BetOnline1.5-105-123

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

1.512:10 AM ET11:15 AM ET
BetOnlineDraftKingsBovadaUnderdogdabble_us_dfsPrizePicks

League vs CHC Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Adley Rutschman BAL07/072
Pete Alonso BAL07/071
Blaze Alexander BAL07/071
Samuel Basallo BAL07/071
Jackson Holliday BAL07/070
Taylor Ward BAL07/070
Coby Mayo BAL07/070
Dylan Beavers BAL07/070
Jordan Walker STL07/054
Alec Burleson STL07/052
JJ Wetherholt STL07/052
Masyn Winn STL07/051
Nathan Church STL07/051
José Fermín STL07/050

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.261.250.208.273.316.333.237.200.407
AVG
.200.250.208.250.324.333.237.200.407
Exit Velo
92.2192.5081.8292.4097.7587.1389.7294.0494.83
sluggingPercentage
.350.850.375.344.757.667.289.320.815
OPS
.5651.100.583.6061.0531.000.526.5201.222