Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Gunnar Henderson

Baltimore Orioles · SS · Bats L

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.39
Edge
-11.8%
Last 7
33%1/3 over 1 · 4 push
Window avg
1.29
Median
1.0
L5
33%
1/3
L10
33%
1/3
L20
33%
1/3
2026
Avg1.29
Streak

Total Baseslast 7 vs 1

vs CHC only · official box scores
1vs CHC07/091vs CHC07/100vs CHC07/110@ CHC08/015@ CHC08/021@ CHC08/031vs CHC07/071

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings1.5-103-129
BetOnline1.5-105-123
Bovada1.5+100-130

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

1.512:10 AM ET12:10 AM ET
BetOnlineDraftKingsBovada

League vs CHC Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Adley Rutschman BAL07/072
Blaze Alexander BAL07/071
Pete Alonso BAL07/071
Samuel Basallo BAL07/071
Jackson Holliday BAL07/070
Taylor Ward BAL07/070
Coby Mayo BAL07/070
Dylan Beavers BAL07/070
Jordan Walker STL07/054
JJ Wetherholt STL07/052
Alec Burleson STL07/052
Masyn Winn STL07/051
Nathan Church STL07/051
Lars Nootbaar STL07/050

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

sluggingPercentage
.350.850.375.323.757.667.297.327.815
Exit Velo
92.2192.5081.8291.9797.7587.1389.4594.0494.83
AVG
.200.250.208.226.324.333.243.204.407
onBasePercentage
.261.250.208.250.316.333.243.204.407
OPS
.5651.100.583.5631.0531.000.541.5311.222