Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
0.90
Edge
-9.5%Last 7
71%5/7 over 0.5
Window avg
0.86
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
71%
5/7
L20
71%
5/7
2026
100%
1/1
Avg0.86
StreakW3
Parlay pairs — when Gunnar Henderson clears 1.5 Hits, these hit too
Samuel Basallo o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 77% · base 56% · n=26 · -233 BetOnline
Blaze Alexander o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 65% · base 57% · n=17 · -192 BetOnline
Blaze Alexander o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 65% · base 57% · n=17 · -185 BetOnline
Colton Cowser o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 61% · base 54% · n=87 · -145 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 7 vs 0.5
vs CHC only · official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
BetOnlineDraftKings
League vs CHC — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 3/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Adley Rutschman BAL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Samuel Basallo BAL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Blaze Alexander BAL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Pete Alonso BAL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Coby Mayo BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Dylan Beavers BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jackson Holliday BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Taylor Ward BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Alec Burleson STL | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| JJ Wetherholt STL | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Masyn Winn STL | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
| Nathan Church STL | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
| Jordan Walker STL | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
| José Fermín STL | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
onBasePercentage
OPS