Tonight's line
6.5
Model proj
7.01
Edge
-0.8%Last 10
60%6/10 over 8.5
Window avg
8.80
Median
9.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
40%
8/20
2026
47%
8/17
Avg6.99
StreakL1
Parlay pairs — when Dylan Cease clears 6.5 Pitcher Strikeouts, these hit too
Nathan Lukes o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 60% · n=8 · -198 DraftKings
Ernie Clement o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 64% · base 56% · n=14 · -217 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Pitcher Strikeouts — last 10 vs 8.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Pitcher Strikeouts
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 6.5 | -146 | +114 |
| FanDuel | 6.5 | -154 | +120 |
| PrizePicks | 7 | -137 | -137 |
| Betr Picks | 7 | -137 | -137 |
| Bovada | 6.5 | -160 | +120 |
| dabble_us_dfs | 6.5 | -139 | +139 |
Line movement — Pitcher Strikeouts
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
FanDuelDraftKingsBovadaPrizePicksdabble_us_dfsBetr Picks
League vs SF — Pitcher Strikeouts, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 5/14 would clear tonight's 6.5
| Spencer Miles TOR | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Kevin Gausman TOR | 07/06 | 8 | ✓ |
| Tanner Gordon COL | 07/05 | 7 | ✓ |
| Sean Sullivan COL | 07/04 | 4 | ✗ |
| Ryan Feltner COL | 07/03 | 9 | ✓ |
| Zac Gallen AZ | 07/01 | 4 | ✗ |
| Brandon Pfaadt AZ | 06/30 | 2 | ✗ |
| Eduardo Rodriguez AZ | 06/29 | 1 | ✗ |
| Chris Sale ATL | 06/28 | 10 | ✓ |
| Bryce Elder ATL | 06/27 | 4 | ✗ |
| Reynaldo López ATL | 06/26 | 1 | ✗ |
| Jeffrey Springs OAK | 06/25 | 6 | ✗ |
| Gage Jump OAK | 06/24 | 9 | ✓ |
| Aaron Civale OAK | 06/23 | 5 | ✗ |
Pitch arsenal — 2026
Usage share and average velocity by pitch type.
Four-seam FB36.1% · 97.7 mph
Slider29.1% · 89.3 mph
Changeup11.3% · 83.6 mph
Sinker9.8% · 96.3 mph
Knuckle Curve9.3% · 82.7 mph
Sweeper4.4% · 84.2 mph