Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Jared Jones

Pittsburgh Pirates · P · Bats L · Throws R

Tonight's line
4.5
Model proj
5.21
Edge
+2.7%
Last 13
62%8/13 over 4.5
Window avg
5.77
Median
5.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
62%
8/13
2026
33%
1/3
Avg5.77
StreakW1

Pitcher Strikeoutslast 13 vs 4.5

official box scores
10@ MIA03/307vs BAL04/053@ SF04/2810vs COL05/042@ DET05/293vs MIN06/098vs TB06/229vs WSH09/085vs KC09/155@ CIN09/213@ COL06/214vs CIN06/276@ PHI07/024.5

Tonight's odds — Pitcher Strikeouts

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings4.5-152+119

Line movement — Pitcher Strikeouts

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs ATL Pitcher Strikeouts, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 4.5

Paul Skenes PIT07/074
Freddy Peralta NYM07/066
Nolan McLean NYM07/055
Sean Manaea NYM07/044
Christian Scott NYM07/037
Dustin May STL07/021
Michael McGreevy STL07/013
Matthew Liberatore STL06/309
Robbie Ray SF06/282
Logan Webb SF06/276
Trevor McDonald SF06/263
JP Sears SD06/245
Wandy Peralta SD06/232
Michael King SD06/225